Allsvenskan · Regular Season - 16
Sirius
IF BrommapojkarnaMon, 10 Aug 2026 · 17:00 · Studenternas IP
At a glance
Sirius form
IF Brommapojkarna form
Injuries
H2H last 5
for Sirius
Outcome Probabilities
AI Analysis
The takeaways
Verdict
Sirius are backed with real conviction to beat Brommapojkarna, likely by more than one goal.
Form gap
Sirius are unbeaten in 15 games and top the table, while Brommapojkarna sit 12th with a poor recent run of one draw and four losses in their last five.
Away form
Sirius's away record is actually stronger than their home record, so their dominance isn't just about a friendly home venue.
Suspension blow
Brommapojkarna will be without M. Hansen, their top scorer and top assist provider, through suspension, plus Ackermann is out, while Sirius's absences are mostly disciplinary rather than injuries to key attackers.
Underlying numbers
Brommapojkarna's recent performances have produced very low expected goals and conceded chances worth nearly four goals in one match, with their actual points earned far outstripping what their performances deserved.
Sirius arrive at this fixture as runaway leaders of Allsvenskan, and everything in the data points the same way.
Sirius sit top with 41 points from 15 games, unbeaten all season (13 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses), with a goal difference of plus-25. Crucially, this dominance isn't just a home phenomenon — their away record is actually superior to their home one (7 wins from 8 on the road, conceding just eight all season away from Studenternas IP), so there's no reason to think their home form here is inflated by a soft venue split. Their last five in all competitions read WWWWD, including wins over IF Elfsborg (8th) and IFK Goteborg, plus a 4-4 thriller with Mjallby. That draw is the only blemish, and even that came with four goals scored. R. Ure leads the league's scoring charts with 15, and Bjerkebo has been directly involved in 16 goals himself (11 goals, 5 assists) — this is a side scoring freely against sides of all standings.
Brommapojkarna, by contrast, sit 12th with just 17 points, a negative goal difference, and a wretched recent run of LDLLD. They've lost to IFK Goteborg and Malmo in their last few weeks and could only draw with Hammarby and Gais. Their underlying numbers are grim too — in their last matches with recorded shot data they've managed as little as 0.49 and 1.48 expected goals while conceding as much as 3.8 worth of chances in a single match. The expected-points picture matches the eye test: their performances have been worth barely a third of the actual points they've picked up, which suggests their results, poor as they are, may even be flattering them slightly rather than the reverse.